February 3, 2023

Rocky Daily News

Colorado Politics-Sports-Business-Weather

Colorado 2022 Election Polls Update

1 min read

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Election day is next Tuesday, November 8. But polls suggest that the chances for an upset in the Colorado races for governor, senator and congressional representatives are strikingly low, with none of the underdogs given even a two-in-ten chance of triumphing.

This analysis comes courtesy of FiveThirtyEight, considered the gold standard for election analysis. The website doesn’t always get it right, as evidenced by the 2016 presidential contest, which it favored Hillary Clinton to win — though founder Nate Silver subsequently pointed out that FiveThirtyEight gave Donald Trump a better chance than just about any other polling service. But overall, the site’s statistics since 2008 have been extremely impressive, particularly in blowout scenarios.

And most of the big-name competitions…

Michael Roberts

2022-11-03 07:36:00

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